The university's December flash estimate for the Singapore Residential Price Index (SRPI) series showed that the most marked price deterioration was in Central Region, which is defined as Districts 1-4 (including the financial district and Sentosa Cove) and the traditional prime residential districts of 9, 10 and 11. The sub-index for Central Region (excluding small units) fell 1.3 per cent month-on-month in December, reversing a 2.2 per cent gain in November.
The sub-index for Non-Central Region (again excluding small units) rose 0.5 per cent in December, a more modest gain compared with November's 1.3 per cent rise.
According to the flash estimates, prices of small units (up to 506 sq ft) islandwide remained unchanged in December. In November, they rose 1.1 per cent.
The overall SRPI dipped 0.3 per cent in December, after rising 1.7 per cent in November.
NUS' Institute of Real Estate Studies (IRES), which minted the SRPI series, said that starting this month, the base period for the series is March 2009 (instead of December 2001 previously) as the indices bottomed in March 2009 and this change better reflects the movements in price.
Associate Professor Lum Sau Kim of IRES observed that transaction volumes for units in the SRPI basket registered declines from November to December in both 2012 and 2011 - due to "the end-of-year effect" of the holiday season. "And the volume declines were accompanied by a corresponding contraction in prices," she explained.
Commenting on the sharp reversal in the Central Region sub-index between November and December last year, she said: "Our SRPI Central Region sub-index had been boosted in November 2012 by several transactions in areas that had been relatively quiet for much of the year, such as in Sentosa. Hence, there was an increase in the Central Region sub-index on a marked-to-market basis. In December 2012, the price signals were generally subdued."
The SRPI series tracks prices of completed non- landed private homes but excludes executive condos, which are a public-private housing hybrid.
For the whole of last year, the sub-index for Non-Central Region was the star performer, climbing 8.8 per cent, followed by the small unit sub-index, which rose 5.7 per cent. The Central Region sub-index slipped 1.2 per cent, taking the overall SRPI 4 per cent higher last year.
In 2011, prices rose 11.3 per cent in Non-Central Region, 10.6 per cent for small units and 5.1 per cent for Central Region. The overall SRPI increased 8.7 per cent.
Source: Business Times –29 January 2013
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